Two truths and a lie for Florida Football after four games

Sep 14, 2024; Gainesville, Florida, USA; Florida Gators athletic director Scott Stricklin (left) and head coach Billy Napier talk before a game against the Texas A&M Aggies at Ben Hill Griffin Stadium. Mandatory Credit: Matt Pendleton-Imagn Images
Sep 14, 2024; Gainesville, Florida, USA; Florida Gators athletic director Scott Stricklin (left) and head coach Billy Napier talk before a game against the Texas A&M Aggies at Ben Hill Griffin Stadium. Mandatory Credit: Matt Pendleton-Imagn Images / Matt Pendleton-Imagn Images
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Truth: Florida Can Make A Bowl Game

Florida needs four more wins in order to make a bowl game. There is a real possibility Florida won't win any more games and even if Florida goes 6-6, we don't believe that's good enough to justify keeping Napier around.

So don't get it twisted that making a bowl is an accomplishment that will fix the ills of this squad.

But there is value from a public perception standpoint and from a salvageable dumpster fire standpoint if Florida can make it to a bowl game rather than miss out for the second straight season.

If you squint hard enough, Florida is favored in the ESPN FPI Index against Kentucky and FSU and still has a 40% shot against UCF and LSU.

Three of those four are at home. Win those four, and there is a pathway to 6-6 and a bowl game.