Florida vs Kentucky final odds and predictions: Vegas has it too close for comfort

This Saturday's game in Lexington has a trap game written all over it for the Florida Gators. One week after an emotional loss to Georgia, and one week before making an emotional trip to Ole Miss, the Gators are taking on Kentucky at 7:30 PM.

Florida torched Kentucky last season with a Billy Napier-led offense, but there are some factors for the 2025 edition that have led oddsmakers to make this game far closer than Gator fans would like.

Florida is a small favorite over Kentucky

Earlier this week, we chatted with our Fansided sister site, Wildcat Blue Nation, and we noted that the knock on Mark Stoops is his tendency to play static zones that get shredded by top-level QBs.

If one goes back to last year's game, DJ Lagway picked apart the Wildcats, as long as he was the perfect QB to have a huge night against a Mark Stoops defense.

The problem is that Lagway is a shell of what he was last year, and seemingly every Florida WR is hurt coming into this game. We saw last week against Georgia that Lagway is still struggling with hitting the deep open shots that were almost automatic last year.

And while Florida does have Jadan Baugh ready to carry the workload, the Wildcats do have a solid run defense and are giving up just 3.47 yards per carry, which is 31st in the country.

But Kentucky's offense is just as anemic and has topped 25 points just twice this season, and one of those was in a 22-point loss to Tennessee. Even in their upset win over Auburn last week, Kentucky scored just 10 points.

So this game has all the makings of a grade A rock fight, and hence why Vegas has this game so close. In the end, the Gators should have just enough playmakers and seem to have just enough juice under Billy Gonzales to get over the finish line, but don't be surprised if this is a one-score game heading into the fourth quarter.