Given all the noise surrounding Florida Football this week, and while we are at it Florida Basketball thanks to the bombshell that came out about Todd Golden, it almost seems like everyone has forgotten that there is a game today.
The Gators are in Austin with a ton of injuries and a ton of question marks in preparation to take on the number five team in the country.
Yeah...
Florida Football: Lone Star State
Spread | Over/Under | Moneyline |
|---|---|---|
Texas -21.5 | 47.5 points | Texas -2500/Florida +1050 |
The single biggest factor that impacts trying to predict a game like this is whether or not DJ Lagway plays. We all assumed after Georgia, he was done, but indications are that he is a "game-time decision."
For the record, I would be stunned if he trots out there, and I don't think Florida has a prayer if he doesn't play, so take that as you will.
But even though the spread is 21.5 points, I still have this sneaking feeling Florida can sneak inside the spread even with Aidan Warner and/or Clay Millen at the helm.
Texas is putting up points and is 12th in the country in points per game against FBS competition, but there is one stat on Texas QB Quinn Ewers that gives Florida a pathway, and it's the fact that of the 103 QBs in the country with at least 200 drop backs, he has the single lowest average depth of target (AKA he isn't pumping the ball down the field).
But the problem for Florida and why it is hard to see them winning even if Lagway does play are the injuries to Elijhah Badger and Damieon George, who will both for sure miss this game. Aidan Mizell will provide a bit of a downfield threat, but we just don't know that it will be enough to force Texas not to load up in the box and stop the run.
This has the feeling of another game where Florida is going to play hard and will get another moral victory, dropping their actual record to 4-5.
We predict a final score of: