Florida Football vs FSU: Final odds and predictions

The regular season finale is here for Florida Football, and low and behold, it means another encounter with the Neighbors to the West. Unlike the past couple of seasons, though, Florida comes into the game as the favorite, as FSU might just be the worst Power Four team in America.

Very few people on Earth are going to predict an upset, so what does Florida have to do to ensure there isn't one in Tallahassee?

Florida Football: The team not suing their conference

You can pick almost any category, and FSU is probably terrible at it. They can't run the ball, they can't throw or catch the ball, they can't stop teams from throwing the ball against them, they can't tackle, they can marginally get close enough to breathe on a QB, and they can't win.

To go from 13-1 last season, a preseason top ten ranking this year, and to free fall into oblivion is something that should be the subject of an ESPN 30 for 30.

This will be the eighth time Billy Napier has been a double-digit favorite at Florida. In those games, he is 6-1, with the lone loss coming to Vanderbilt in 2022.

But, against the spread in those games, he is just 1-6 and has struggled to assert dominance against teams Florida is heavily favored against (USF, Missouri, UNC Charlotte, etc.).

If Florida comes out fired up like we saw them against LSU and Ole Miss, Napier could call his most basic offenses, and Florida probably still has a pathway to win by over 20 points.

FSU is legit that bad.

But if Lagway misses a couple of deep shots early, or Florida gets stuffed on a couple 3rd and 1 attempts, there is a pathway in a rivalry game for FSU to linger around longer than Florida fans want them to.

Ultimately, unless FSU pulls a rabbit out of the hat on offense, Florida's defense has stiffened up to a level that should get enough three-and-outs to force FSU's defense back onto the field.

In time, that should wear them down, and so for that reason, we are predicting: