Final odds and predictions for Florida Football against Tennessee

Admittedly, our normal process for coming up with our final prediction for Florida Football this week has been altered because, you know, Milton. The Gators enter today as big underdogs, and normally, we would try to watch some film on Tennessee to determine if the analytics support the narrative we are going to craft.

It's with that in mind we still don't have a ton of faith that what we have seen from the Gators the past two games is going to be replicated tonight.

Florida vs Tennessee odds for Week 7

Per FanDuel Sportsbook, Tennessee is favored by 16.5 points, with an over/under of 57.2. Moneyline on the Gators is +480, and for the Vols is -690.

It feels wild, given the history of this series, that Florida is as large of an underdog as they are, especially coming off two straight wins, while Tennessee is coming off a loss to Arkansas.

However, the core question we have asked the past three weeks is whether the offensive output Florida has had is transferable once the level of competition ramps up, and our belief is that the answer is no.

Florida put up a ton of points against Mississippi State and put up 24 points in one half against UCF before putting up zero in the second half. As much as Billy Napier tries to attribute offensive struggles to execution, the reality is that his offense relies on inferior competition.

For example, we highlighted earlier that one of the hidden plays from UCF that propelled Florida to victory was Montrell Johnson's seven-yard gain on a dump-off on a 2nd and 10 on Florida's opening touchdown drive. The play should have been stopped for a loss of five and set up 3rd and 15, but instead, set up 3rd and 3.

The play worked solely because UCF can't tackle. Is Florida going to enjoy a similar fate today?

We think not.

Even last year's upset of Tennesee required Trevor Etienne to have the game of his life.

Spoiler alert: he isn't here.

So even if Tennessee's offense isn't as prolific as once advertised and Florida is able to generate sacks on Nico Iamaleava, the core question keeps coming back to whether or not Florida can score enough points.

Arkansas held Tennessee to 14 points. Great effort by the Razorbacks, but that should not be Plan A against the Volunteers for Florida.

Tonight has the makings of either the Billy Napier Revenge Tour for those of us who long ago jumped off the bandwagon or it has the makings of "See, we told you so."

We would like to be wrong, but we are predicting: