Florida football: An early look at the lines for Florida-Arkansas

Florida Gators defensive end Kelby Collins (11) and Florida Gators defensive end Princely Umanmielen (1) wait for a play call during the first half against the Vanderbilt Commodores at Steve Spurrier Field at Ben Hill Griffin Stadium in Gainesville, FL on Saturday, October 7, 2023. [Matt Pendleton/Gainesville Sun]
Florida Gators defensive end Kelby Collins (11) and Florida Gators defensive end Princely Umanmielen (1) wait for a play call during the first half against the Vanderbilt Commodores at Steve Spurrier Field at Ben Hill Griffin Stadium in Gainesville, FL on Saturday, October 7, 2023. [Matt Pendleton/Gainesville Sun] /
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Florida football is coming off of a tough loss at the hands of the Georgia Bulldogs this past weekend and they return home looking to bounce back before a brutal three-game stretch to end the season.

The Arkansas Razorbacks are making the trip to Gainesville this weekend in a game where the Gators will debut black uniforms. At noon. So that’s unfortunate.

But regardless of jerseys and timing, the Gators are going up against an Arkansas team that has been very disappointing this season.

Here’s an early look at the betting market for Florida vs Arkansas.

Florida football: The confident side

Here are the initial lines as of Monday afternoon:

Spread: Gators -6

Total: 48.5

Moneyline: Florida -230, Arkansas +190

The Gators open up as 6-point favorites over Sam Pittman’s Razorbacks and have received 86% of the bets to this point.

Given how bad Arkansas has been at 2-6, there isn’t much faith in them going on the road and covering less than a touchdown as underdogs.

Interestingly enough, however, Arkansas has been the better team against the spread this season. The Hogs are 4-3 against the number, including 3-0 on the road.

Comparatively, Florida is 3-4 against the spread and just 2-2 covering at home. Despite those trends, the public is still all over Florida early on in the week.

The total being below 50 is likely a reflection of Arkansas’ offensive woes combined with Florida’s run-heavy offense.

Arkansas lost to Mississippi State in their last game by a score of 3-7. That offensive output isn’t too threatening.

And while the Gators have a couple of players capable of popping big plays, their offensive line’s inconsistency in pass blocking forces them to try and establish the run.

So in terms of early reads, taking the Gators at -6 before that inflates to a touchdown or more is probably the right side, as is the under.

21-10 in favor of the Gators wouldn’t be too shocking of a result.

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