Florida football is coming off of a bit of a sleepy game against Charlotte, and now hit the road to Kentucky as they get set to play the Wildcats.
Winning on the road in the SEC is never easy, and that was reflected in where the line started early in the week.
But based on where the line has moved over the past 72 hours, it’s obvious that there is some confidence in the Gators’ ability to win this game in Lexington.
Here’s a full betting preview for Florida’s matchup with the Kentucky Wildcats
Florida football vs. Kentucky odds, spread, and total
The spread for this one opened at -3.5 in favor of Kentucky, but it has moved all the way down to -1.5 as the week has gone on.
The over/under sits at 45.5., which is down a couple of points from where it started at 47.5. A lower total seems to favor the Gators given their run-heavy scheme.
The money line is very close, with the Gators the underdog at +100, and Kentucky the slight favorite at -120.
Florida football vs. Kentucky betting trends
Spread: 43% of bets on Gators +1.5
Total: 57% of bets on the over 45.5
Moneyline: 53% of bets on the Gators +100
Florida football vs. Kentucky how to watch
Date: September 30th
Game Time: 12:00 pm
Venue: Kroger Field
How to Watch: ESPN or Fubo TV:
Florida Gators Record: 3-1
Kentucky Wildcats Record: 4-0
Florida football vs. Kentucky key players to watch
Eugene Wilson: The freshman standout for Florida was injured early in the Tennessee game and missed last weekend’s contest. Hopefully, he comes back fully healthy to dominate the Kentucky secondary.
Jaydon Hill: We wrote earlier this week about how Hill is quietly having a great season, and he can continue it in a big spot this weekend if he can help limit Devin Leary and the Wildcats passing attack
Princely Umnamielen: Princely’s pressure is going to be key to slowing down Kentucky’s attack, so his having a big game could swing the momentum in favor of the Gators.
Maxwell Hairston: Hairston has intercepted three passes already through four games, and will be looking to add to that this weekend. Graham Mertz will have to be careful to avoid any big turnovers.
Ray Davis: Davis is UK’s leading rusher with five scores and 6.3 YPC. If he has his way, Florida could struggle to get off the field and put their offense in bad situations.
Devin Leary: The NCST transfer has already thrown for 1,000 yards, but his completion percentage is down at 59.3%. If Florida can force Leary to hit tight windows, they can have a good day against their passing attack.
Florida football vs. Kentucky Prediction and Pick
With the spread being as tight as it is, it’s almost like you’re picking a winner in this one rather than the Gators losing by a single point.
At the beginning of the week, that would be a scary idea, but given that the line fell all the way down from +3.5, there’s a lot more confidence, at least on our end, that Florida can take care of business.
But with that spread being so low, we might as well take Florida to win outright.
Hail Florida Hail’s week five picks: